Category Archives: Eagles

The Offensive Tackles

Going mainstream with Chiefs pick at No. 1. A&M OT Luke Joeckel. Have him graded slightly ahead of Fisher. Need is obvious. #kipermcshay
@McShay13
Todd McShay

With it appearing likely that the Chiefs are going to select Luke Joeckel the Eagles might have the option of choosing between Lane Johnson and Eric Fisher depending on how the Raiders and Jaguars pick. But how would they fit into Chip Kelly’s offense? [1]

The inside zone play is our “go to work” play. We want to get off the ball and be a physical downhill running football team. This is not a finesse play. This is physical football. The offensive lineman play with confidence because they know they have help from their teammates in their blocking scheme. This is the offense we run and everyone knows that. We have great players but we also execute it well. We ran this play 202 times this past season. We averaged about seven to eight yards per carry with this play.

The outside zone play is a complement to the inside zone play. The inside zone is a hole to cutback play. The outside zone is more of a hole to bounce play. The reason we run the outside play is to circle the defense. When you get good at running the inside zone the defenders begin to tighten their techniques and concentrate on squeezing the inside gaps.

If we feel that is happening or we start to get many twists and blitzes inside we run the outside zone play. It gives you speed in space and the offensive line can play with confidence when you have something to change the focus of the defense. We ran the outside zone play 122 times last season for 6.8 yards per carry. It is a good compliment to the inside zone play.

Basic zone read via smartfootball.com

Chip Kelly’s lines aren’t plodding and enormous, they’re lean and athletic. I’ll let Kyle Long explain:

“You need to have mental toughness, physical toughness and you have to be in condition to play in an offense that moves in such a high tempo. We play at a fast tempo and then when we need to, we kick it into overdrive. He’ll say, ‘We’re going to go tempo here’ and everyone looks around and we all lick our chops because we know the guy across from us is going to be more exhausted than we are because we prepared and practiced at a high level.”

Chip Kelly plays it coy at his football clinic linked above when he talks about his running scheme but he really does ask a lot of his offensive line. His offensive line doesn’t have much help, there aren’t any fullbacks or jumbo personnel. He runs a smash-mouth offense out of spread offense sets. The entire idea behind his running scheme at Oregon was to spread the defense out, empty the box and control the line of scrimmage. His offensive linemen need to be in good condition like Kyle Long says but at the same time they need to be big and strong enough to control the line of scrimmage. He runs power plays. He runs zone plays. He runs read option plays. Chip used man and zone concepts at Oregon. And his tackles will do anything, they pull, trap and downblock. He really does need talented offensive line players if he wants to run his scheme effectively.

Turnovers

This guy spoiled us.

In 2010 the Eagles were fourth in the NFL in turnover differential at plus seven. Michael Vick and Kevin Kolb had a combined TD:INT ratio of 28:13 and the secondary (led by Asante Samuel) accounted for 21 interceptions while the defense 23 interceptions overall. As we all know, the 2010 Philadelphia Eagles won the division and made the playoffs. In 2011 the Eagles were second to last in turnover differential at negative 14. Michael Vick, Vince Young and Mike Kafka threw a whopping 25 combined interceptions and the defense only had 15 interceptions. In 2012 the Eagles were tied for last in turnover differential at negative 24. Michael Vick and Nick Foles threw a combined 15 interceptions and the defense only had eight interceptions. The Eagles record has closely correlated with their turnovers, as their turnover differential got worse so did their record.

Now,  is that common sense? Absolutely. But I’m not sure that people realize just how much defensive turnovers, like interceptions, correlate with winning football games (link).

Interceptions
Correlation to Victory (reg. season): 151-42 (.782)
Correlation to Victory (postseason): 6-2 (.750)
Total Correlation: 157-44 (.781)

We’ve long said that interceptions are the most important single play in sports. The way they correlate to victory pretty much proves it. We call it the CHFF Interception Ladder. We need to update it. But short version: each INT decreases your chances of winning by about 20 percentage points.

This is the only indicator we track that looks only at the impact of a single play (or several of them in a game) and its Correlation to Victory is phenomenal.

Put another way: you throw INTs, you lose football games. Simple as that. You throw more interceptions than the other team, you lose nearly 80 percent of all NFL games.

We did not look at fumbles, because it seems that fumbles are random acts with a low Correlation to Victory. Interceptions are function of the quality of QB play, defense, scheme, coaching, etc. However, we should track fumbles in the future just to prove they’re random (or maybe refute our own expectations).

Take for example the 2011 Philadelphia Eagles. The 2011 Philadelphia Eagles turned the ball over 38 times and 25 of those turnovers were in the opponent’s territory:

If you assume that all of those spots are field goal attempts and assume league field goal percentage average for each of the ranges they fall in, I am getting:
- 3 that were less than 30 yards (96.3%) → 8.6 points
- 7 that were 30 – 39 yards (86.8%) → 18.2 points
- 8 that were 40 – 49 yards (74.0%) → 17.7 points

If you assume that those 18 turnovers would have been only field goals for the 2011 Eagles cost the Eagles approximately 44.5 points. And that’s being pretty conservative in my assumptions I think. Every takeaway takes points off of the board for the opponent, potentially shifts the momentum of the game and gives our offense more chances to score. And again, that’s assuming the Eagles didn’t proceed with the ball at all and ended up kicking field goals. The Eagles lost 44.5 points and that’s a bare minimum estimate.

The Eagles have added a handful of secondary players this offseason who have combined for 12 interceptions in the past two seasons. That isn’t much of an upgrade in the playmaking department as Nate Allen, Kurt Coleman, Nnamdi Asomugha and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie combined for 15 interceptions the past two seasons. The need for playmakers in the back half of the defense is just as prominent as ever.

So you drafted Ziggy Ansah…

In the United States, football is king. Sixteen of the twenty most watched sporting events were football games in the first half of 2012 [1] and that was only with a few bowl games, the last week of the regular season and the NFL playoffs. The football dominance over that list only increased with the inclusion of the 2012 regular season. Superbowl XLVII between the Ravens and the 49ers was the most watched television program in the history of the United States, breaking the record it set the year before [2]. Football is the juggernaut and everything else is a sideshow, our enthusiasm for football is overflowing and the rest of the world is slowly catching on.

Since 2005 the NFL has hosted games in Mexico City, Toronto and London and the international fan base is growing rapidly because of it [3].

But the figures are promising. According to the NFL, there is a fan base of 11 million in the UK, which represents a 32% increase in the last two years. More people are playing the game at amateur level too.

Television numbers are also on the rise, with Sunday games showing a 154% increase in viewers, while the amount of people watching the showpiece Super Bowl has gone up by 74% since 2006.

One of the side effects of the ever-expanding NFL is that top level athletes are coming out of the woodwork from all around the world to try their hand at NFL football. In last year’s draft there were five foreign born players drafted (the most ever): Tyrone Crawford, Phillip Blake, Christo Bilukidi, Jack Crawford and Markus Kuhn. This year, there might be just as many foreign born players drafted in the first round alone. Bjoern Werner, Margus Hunt, Jesse Williams, Menalik Watson and Ezekiel Ansah are all potential first round picks. And in the later rounds the NFL can choose between Tom Wort of England and Lawrence Okoye who also hails from the land of crumpets and tea (that’s right, right?).

But the most tantalizing raw foreign talent is surely the aforementioned Ezekiel Ansah. Among players at the combine, Ansah tied William Gholston for most passes batted at the line. He was third in percentage of tackles for two yards or less. And amongst the top pass rushing prospects Ezekiel Ansah had the most sacks and pressures per snap. In just his third season playing any sort of football, Ansah had 49% of his 62 tackles came within 2 yards of the line of scrimmage. All of those numbers are courtesy of @JPStats on twitter.

This guy is so new to football but he’s already creating an impact on the field and he took over the senior bowl where he won the “Most Outstanding Defensive Player” award, seven tackles (six solo), 1.5 sacks (for 13 yards), 3.5 tackles for loss (for 24 yards), a pass breakup, and a forced fumble. Ezekiel Ansah is raw, that is undeniable (depending on what you mean). But for someone so raw he displays a sense of awareness well beyond his years.

Name

Height

Weight

Arm Length

10 Yd. Split

Vert. Jump

3 Cone Drill

Ezekiel Ansah

6’5” 271 35 1/8” 1.62 34.5”

7.11

Jason Pierre-Paul

6’5” 270 34 ¾” 1.65 30.5

7.18

Aldon Smith

6’4” 263 35 3/8” 1.66 34”

7.19

Chandler Jones

6’5” 266 35 ½” 1.66 35”

7.07

Quinton Coples

6’5” 284 33 ¼” 1.63 31.5”

7.57

JJ Watt

6’5” 290 34” 1.64 37”

6.88

Carlos Dunlap 6’5” 278 34 5/8” 1.61 31.5

7.21

A Team Building Theorem

Peyton is not the rule, he’s the exception. A great QB whose impact leaves teams chasing players that aren’t comparable.

Building a winning football team isn’t about focusing on certain spots, there is no special forumla. There is one formula that, in my opinion, is the only winning forumla there is: acquire the best football players you can and things will take care of themselves*. That seems super simple, right? Elementary, my good man! But, apparently not in the silly season we call the NFL offseason.

*this is completely dependent on having a competent coaching staff and/or Peyton Manning

Once the calendar flips to March, every single NFL pundit, fan and scout lose their minds over one position: Quarterbacks. They go crazy. The QB spot is like a drug, almost like the dopamine of sport. Everyone looooves the QB and that is under selling it. This thirst for the QB position, this desperation, leads to mistakes. It’s how Mark Sanchez got drafted fifth overall. It’s how Kyle Boller and Rex Grossman went in round one and it’s how teams give up bounties for guys like Matt Cassel, Kevin Kolb and Alex Smith.

This, in a nut-shell is what the overriding football theory is at this point:

 

It essentially boils down to this: Pass the ball and make the other QB uncomfortable and that’s how you win games. But I don’t think that’s the case. To make my argument, I’m calling upon four case samples as evidence: the Detroit Lions, the San Diego Chargers, the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks.

The Detroit Lions:

They’ve got a #1 pick lined up as their QB and he’s quite good. Matt Stafford has thrown for 9734 yards and 61 touchdowns the past two seasons. They have potentially the most talented WR to ever play the game lining up on the perimeter in Calvin Johnson. They’ve invested three top-two-round picks in pass catchers in four years. And as far as making QBs uncomfortable, they’re pretty set with Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley who they spent top-13 picks on and prior to losing him to NFL free agency, they had Cliff Avril as well.

By football theory standards, the Detroit Lions should be the crown jewel of the football world. In my eyes the Detroit Lions poke a pretty big hole in the “pass the ball and rush the passer” theory. They haven’t done anything despite following the new-wave football model to a T. The reason I bring up the Detroit Lions is this: Winning football games isn’t as simple as passing the ball and rushing the passer and having a great QB with a great passing game doesn’t just magically win you games. Which brings me to the next point in my argument: the San Diego Chargers.

The San Diego Chargers:

“Missin’ U” -Philip Rivers

Philip Rivers is funny, isn’t he? In 2009 and 2010 Philip Rivers threw for 8964 yards, 58 touchdowns and 22 interceptions. In 2011 and 2012 Philip Rivers threw for 8230 yards, 53 touchdowns and 35 interceptions. His yards and touchdowns decreased by 9.1% while his interceptions increased by 15.9%. His team also won seven fewer games in the same two year span.

So what happened? Did Philip Rivers the QB get worse? Because it appears the decline of the Chargers and Philip Rivers closely correlates with the mass exodus of talent from their roster. From the start of 2009 to the start of 2012 season the Chargers lost Ladanian Tomlinson, Darren Sproles, Mike Tolbert, Vincent Jackson, Kris Dielman, Marcus McNeil, Antonio Cromartie and Shawne Merriman amongst others.

What’s my point? I don’t think it’s a coincidence that Philip Rivers has slipped as his supporting cast has made their way out of San Diego. The supporting cast matters more than you think unless you’ve got a rare QB like Tom Brady or Peyton Manning. Rivers is a good QB, they spent a high pick on him and they gave him a coaching staff tailored to him and it didn’t translate into wins.

The San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks

These two teams have created some serious buzz in the past two seasons. The 49ers have been to one superbowl and two NFC Championship games. And the Seattle Seahawks have had a rapid ascension that ended with a last second loss to the Atlanta Falcons in the playoffs last season. Both teams appear to be destined for big things in the coming seasons, but here’s the kicker: their starting QBs are second and third round picks, respectively. Last season Colin Kaepernick and Russell Wilson combined for 4932 yards, 36 touchdowns, 13 interceptions, 904 rushing yards and 9 rushing touchdowns. That sort of production and efficiency is astounding from young QBs, but they weren’t highly regarded when they entered the league as day two picks. So, what gives? They have fantastic supporting casts and schemes that fit them, they landed in perfect situations.

As talented as Kaepernick and Wilson are, would they be as successful if they were in Oakland and Jacksonville? Absolutely not. Would they still be good for those franchises? I’m sure they could be but they certainly wouldn’t be enjoying the early success they’re currently enjoying if those defenses weren’t putting them in position to win games, if they weren’t handing the ball to Marshawn Lynch and Frank Gore, if they weren’t standing behind Russell Okung and Max Unger and Joe Staley and Anthony Davis and they didn’t have great coaches. Just like Philip Rivers is struggling without Vincent Jackson, Darren Sproles and Marcus McNeil.

So what?

Build a foundation.

If you’re a bad team and a QB just happens to be the best player on the board (Colts, Redskins etc.) then good for you, the starts aligned and you’re in a great position to build a team. But more often than not, the QB isn’t going to be the best player left on the board and you end up reaching for a guy because traditional wisdom says that finding a great QB is like finding the golden god of football to come and save your team.

Finding great passers like Matt Stafford, Robert Griffin III and Matt Ryan is really, really hard. Finding great QBs who are great passers but also elevate the level of play around them like Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and soon-to-be Andrew Luck is even harder. If you’re not careful, you’ll get caught with quarterback-goggles (the NFL equivalent of beer goggles) and end up chasing ghosts.

For a vast majority of teams that don’t have the luxury of drafting the Andrew Luck-s and RGIII-s of the world it’s a matter of manufacturing good QB play and developing passers. By drafting the best player available (assuming it works out) you’re building a foundation. A foundation that gives the QB you decide to take a chance on the best chance at succeeding. So when the Eagles draft “Joe Rugged, Trench Player from ‘Really Tough School’” this Thursday know that it’s going to improve the roster and help give whatever QB we trot out on Sundays a better shot at winning.

Note, this is a team building theory. This theory applies to teams that are building because as a a team gets more and more successful and the needs become more particular the drafting methodology should definitely shift towards more of a need based system in my eyes. But for a team like the Eagles that doesn’t have many long term solutions on the roster, the only theory that applies is the “Best Player Available” theory.

It’s a simple concept that a lot of smart people forget in April.

So you drafted Matt Elam.

Typically I’ve only highlighted round one targets with this little series of posts but Matt Elam is a guy that I feel really strongly about and would absolutely love at the top of round two. He’s a personal favorite of mine.

Everyone knows Cris Carter, the hall of fame wide receiver who played the vast majority of his career as a Viking, but did you know he had a son in the draft? Duron Carter is taking the Bryce Brown road. Carter reportedly hated school and it led to him being a part of four programs in four years: Ohio State, Coffeyeville Community College, Alabama and Florida Atlantic University. Gil Brandt says reliability is a huge question and Carter only compounded the problem when he missed the regional combine with the flu. People that know Duron seem to believe that the younger Carter is riddled with a sense of entitlement and his twitter bio, “Like father like son I’m destined to be great, it’s in my blood”, doesn’t do much to dispel that. Carter doesn’t lack talent, he wouldn’t have been given so many opportunities if he did. So what is Carter’s problem? He doesn’t appear to have the “stuff”. He says he loves the game but he hasn’t overcame anything, he hasn’t been through the grind and he hasn’t shown the desire and hunger to be great.

Why do I mention Duron Carter in a Matt Elam piece? Because I want you to realize just how different they are. While Carter goes from school to school and Matt Elam is sacrificing his body in the SEC, it’s not just a difference in temperament and circumstance. Matt Elam’s story and background are the complete antithesis to those of Duron Carter. Elam’s story, what’s he been through, really lends itself to the fire and intensity Matt Elam has on constant display between the sidelines.

So You Drafted Star Lotulelei

Last year I did a little series of posts that were based on the premise of drafting a certain player. I’d highlight a particular player’s skills and then explain how I thought they’d fit in on the Eagles. You can see them here: Melvin Ingram, Mark Barron, Chandler Jones (don’t click that link unless you’ve got a lot of patience), Quinton Coples, Luke Kuechly, Michael Brockers, Dontari Poe and Ryan Tannehill. I’m pretty happy with the way those turned out so I’m going to do some again this year leading up to the draft starting with my man-crush, Star Lotulelei. 

In 2007 the University of Oregon was sniffing around the state of Utah looking for the next Haloti Ngata. They ended up recruiting a big Samoan defensive tackle from Cottonwood High School, a guy who was touted as the best DT prospect from the state of Utah since Haloti Ngata. They weren’t recruiting Star Lotulelei, they were recruiting, Simi Fili. Coming out of high school, Star Lotulelei was a 240 pound, 3 star recruit who had committed to BYU but didn’t qualify academically. He ended up moving furniture, not in college or playing football. Nothing Star Lotulelei has today was gifted to him, he’s a man from humble beginnings and he’s earned everything he’s about to get; born in Tonga, failing to qualify for college and playing second fiddle to Simi Fili in high school.

It’s kind of funny how these things work out, two high school players whose paths started similarly but ended wildly different. Star’s counterpart, Fili, also failed to qualify for college out of high school and he never made it to Oregon. As a matter of fact, the best thing since Haloti Ngata never even made it to division one football. Fili, was billed as the next Haloti Ngata coming out of high school but it was the 3 star, 240 pound DT who ended up blossoming into the Ngata-type player. Simi Fili now reportedly competes as a competitive lifter after toiling in JUCO for a few seasons. I think it just goes to prove how difficult Star Lotulelei’s path has been, he could’ve floundered around and foiled a great chance like Fili but he didn’t. And yeah, Star Lotulelei remembers Fili [1], he knows how close he was to flying off the figurative rails, “It’s a real thin line,” he says. “For me, it really all depends on what your motivation is.”

Now, some guys who “started from the bottom” and made it might settle in and rest on their laurels but by all accounts, Star Lotulelei is a hard working and unassuming player. In the 3 years before he made it to DI football, Star Lotulelei really bulked up almost to the point of being out of shape. As a JUCO player, Star Lotulelei ballooned up to about 350 pounds and reports I’ve seen consider that a conservative estimate. He cut weight and by the end of his first season he was a starting defensive tackle that weighed 325 pounds and he hasn’t stopped working since, saying at the end of his pro-day, “No time to rest. It’s the most important time of my career” [2].

The Importance Of A Nose Tackle, Not What You Think?

In the coming weeks you’re going to hear about two spots over and over and over again. You’re going to hear about the QB spot and justifiably so but you’re also going to hear a lot of talking about a nose tackle, perhaps unjustifiably so. People are going to bust out the cliches. They’re going to talk and talk about how we need a “power pig” (I’d be impressed if they actually used that term, it’s awesome) to “anchor” our new 3-4 defense. They’ll talk about Vince Wilfork. They’ll talk about BJ Raji. They’ll talk about Haloti Ngata. If they’re older they might bust out a Ted Washington reference. Why? BECAUSE THE NOSE TACKLE SPOT IS IMPORTANT THATS WHY! Or is it…

  • Dan Williams (6’3″, 327) played 41% of snaps
  • Terrence Cody (6’4″, 341) played 32% of snaps
  • Antonio Johnson (6’3″ 310) played 49% of snaps
  • Sione Pouha (6’3″ 325) played 37% of snaps
  • Casey Hampton played on 49% of snaps
  • Cam Thomas (6’4″, 335) played 37% of snaps
  • Isaac Sopoaga played 30% of snaps

And do you want to know a secret? The Patriots don’t play a 3-4 defense and Vince Wilfork isn’t a 3-4 NT. Haloti Ngata is a 3-4 DE. BJ Raji plays all three spots across the line for Green Bay. So if you’re arguing with someone you can have that up your sleeve. Do you want to know the only two nose tackles that racked up a significant amount of snaps? Barry Cofield and Dontari Poe. That’s it. It would appear that these behemoths are little more than two down run stoppers in today’s NFL. Is this an important function? Absolutely. Is a two-down-run-stopper something we need to sell out to get? I’m not so sure…

Quite frankly, given what I’ve seen from Antonio Dixon I’m almost comfortable with having him as our designated “fat man” in the middle of the defense. He was quite the run stopper before Jim Washburn came in and kicked him out of town because he didn’t fit his scheme. Dixon was so good in fact that after the 2010 season, ProFootballFocus highlighted him as a “Secret Superstar” (link).

Dixon flashed during his rookie year. As a run defender, he accumulated a +3.9 grade in 119 snaps. He wasn’t making a lot of plays, with just ten stops, but he’d more than shown he deserved a roster spot already.

With an expanded role in 2010 – a torn bicep for incumbent Brodrick Bunkley against San Francisco gave Dixon a chance to start in Week 6 – he did not disappoint. He ended the year ranked 8th overall in our run defense grades for interior defensive linemen, surrounded by players like Antonio Garay, Haloti Ngata and Kevin Williams. His playmaking was once again lacking (just 21 stops), but this is understandable considering the 2-gap scheme that asks Eagle defensive tackles to eat up blocks.

As a matter of fact, if you look at all the nose tackles from last season you’ll see that there isn’t much of a correlation between overall and run defense performances and the size, draft position, salary and performance of a nose tackle.

Does anyone else find it comical that Casey Hampton is listed at 325 pounds?

Of the 3-4 defenses that placed in the top 10, only two had nose tackles that were graded positively by ProFootballFocus, Earl Mitchell and Aubrayo Franklin. The 49ers, a team highly regarded for their defense, had one of the worst nose tackles in the NFL last season.

The 49ers are actually a great example of the diminishing importance of a NT. They ran an under-front defense that ranked 3rd in the NFL and 4th against the run despite pretty bad nose tackle play. If you turn on the Green Bay v.s. San Francisco game you’ll notice that Sopoaga isn’t even on the field most of the time. Against a passing team like the Packers, the 49ers opted to have Isaac on the sideline and roll with a four man front of Aldon Smith, Justin Smith, Ray McDonald and Ahmad Brooks.

Without a doubt the nose tackle has it’s role and having a good one would be nice but I’m starting to believe the importance of getting a “true nose tackle” is being overblown.

Billy Davis’ Defense

So we hired Billy Davis. What does it mean? What should you expect?

Well for starters, lets start by explaining Billy Davis. Billy Davis has been in the NFL for 21 years and he’s coached in an array of defensive schemes. He’s coached with Bill Cowher, Dick LeBeau, Dick Jauron, Mike Nolan, Tim Lewis, Wade Phillips, Dennis Allen, Vic Fangio, Dom Capers and Keith Butler. It’s quite the list of peers and it’s sort of interesting how inter-connected they all are.

Kendricks is primed for a break-out in the new scheme.

Up to this point, Davis hasn’t been anything special as a coordinator. In four years of coordinating defenses, Davis’ units have been in the bottom three in points allowed 75% of the time. He’s only coordinated one top 20 defense and one top 15 scoring defense, both in 2009. On the upside, in both years’ of Davis’ tenure in Arizona the Cardinals won playoff games. So he’s got that going for him. Not all experience is good experience, sometimes you learn the hard way. Hopefully Davis can learn from his previous failures and put together a strong unit here for the Eagles.

Now, despite a bad track record I must preach patience. Defensive coaches ebb and flow, much of their results are circumstantial. Often times, their success is dictated by the circumstances that they’re stuck with. As my example, I’m going to use Vic Fangio. Despite coaching a defense that has been top five in both scoring and yardage the past two seasons, he is still in the 45th percentile in yards allowed and 51st percentile for points allowed on his career. Prior to joining San Francisco, Fangio had coached one top ten defense and five bottom ten defenses.

But enough about who the expect as our coordinator, what scheme are we going to run? Well, if Billy Davis actually does end up getting hired we’re likely going to see a 3-4 defense brought to Philadelphia. Most of Davis’ NFL experience has come in a 3-4 defense, in both previous stints as a coordinator he ran a 3-4 and signs have indicated that’s the direction we’re headed in. Just on the most obvious of levels, Chip Kelly is seemingly a guy who prefers the flexibility of a 3-4 defense, he did run that at Oregon. And when talking with prospects at the senior bowl players said that the Eagles expressed interest in their ability to move to a 3-4 (source).

But why are more and more teams moving towards a 3-4 defense? Why Chip Kelly? North Carolina associate head coach for defense / inside linebackers coach Vic Koenning makes his case for the 3-4. Link.

Koenning said in regards to the spread, pistol and option offenses being shown off in the playoffs, ”Look at the NFL scores from last week’s playoff games, that will wake everybody up to what us college defensive coaches have been facing for the last few years now.”

“If (offensive coordinators) know what you are in, they have answers to stuff,” Koenning said. “The old days of lining up in the I formation and saying our Jimmys are better than your Joeys, and we want to beat you into submission, nobody wants to do that anymore. Everything is about space. If you have guys that can’t compete in space then you’re going to be struggling.”

As defensive coordinators adjust to keep up, Koenning thinks we’ll see more 3-4 defensive alignments.

“I am not saying that teams that play a traditional 4-3 can’t be successful, but I will tell you that it puts stresses on a lot of different positions with what today’s college football offensively has become,” he said. “I kind of think it forces you to look at what you have personnel-wise and scheme-wise.”

Essentially, it allows you to disguise what you’re doing more. The 3-4 alignment allows you to get one more athlete out on the field and match-up in space a little bit easier. And it allows to our defense to get more creative with the pressure and blitz angles that we bring. Chip, as a connoisseur of the spread offense knows this and he knows what gave him trouble. It’s why he chose to run a similar 3-4 defense at Oregon.

Under Front:

The next logical questions circulate around the schematics of a 3-4 defense. What type of 3-4 defense are we going to run? Well, if Billy Davis’ history as a coordinator is any indication we’re going to run what is called an under front defense and it looks like this:

Davis called his weakside pass-rusher “predator” which I think is pretty sick so I’m rolling with it.

All an under front is, is a defensive front alignment. This may seem insignificant, I mean, after all it’s only a shift of a few inches or feet so what’s the big fuss? It may seem silly and trivial but those few inches make a big difference in how a defender must approach his job.

Here’s what’s different about the under front 3-4 defense:

-The nose is shifted a few inches so they’re playing over the shoulder of the center (shading) instead of lining up directly over them as a 0-technique. In this scheme the defender is lined up as a 1-technique defender as opposed to a 0-technique defender. It affords them a little bit more “aggressive-ability” because now they’re less subject to what the center does and able to press their gap more directly. They’re now more than just an enormous speed bump. Brandon Mebane at 6’3″ and 311 pounds is a notable 1 technique defender. These guys are typically barrel-shaped, squatty types.

-The RE, typically a 5-technique, is shifted inside over the outside shoulder of the guard, making them a 3-technique defender. A 3-technique lines up between the guard and tackle, is usually lighter and quicker at the point of attack. They are asked to shoot their gap and pierce the middle of the offensive line. You’ll notice that both the center and tackle next to the opposing guard are occupied. This makes it much harder for the offense to double the 3 technique, thus facilitating more one-on-one match-ups. If players have the athleticism to take advantage of the 1-on-1 match-ups they can ride this spot to pro-bowls. Hell, Warren Sapp rode it to a hall of fame career. Calais Campbell, Justin Smith, Muhammad Wilkerson and Haloti Ngata (he moves around) are guys who play this spot today.

Eagles Related Note: Fletcher Cox should have no problems filling this role. As a defensive tackle in the SEC the only player to get the best of him was Chance Warmack and in his rookie year he was giving offensive guards all they could handle. He absolutely obliterated a good Ravens’ offensive line and the Bengals’ line as well. Fletcher Cox is an elite athlete at the DT spot whose change of direction skills are rarely matched. 

-The “Predator” also shifts over and he plays over the outside shoulder of the offensive tackle, a 5-technique or 6-technique spot. This essentially makes it so that the weakside pass-rusher (the Predator) is  just stand-up 4-3 defensive end who rushes the passer a majority of the time. In Arizona Davis rushed Bertrand Berry over 80% of the time. In San Francisco the 49ers rushed Aldon Smith 85.8% of the time. In Dallas the Cowboys rushed DeMarcus Ware 87.1% of the time. In Baltimore the Ravens rushed Terrell Suggs 87.8%.

-The 5-technique on the left remains a 5 technique. Ideally your 5 technique is going to have enough athleticism to threaten the offensive line when rushing the passer but they’re going to have the core strength to hold up in the running game because they’re ability to hold the POA is critical in defending the run. You’re looking for a player with the length to “bench-press” and lock out blockers. Richard Seymour was the proto-type 5-technique.

-The strong-side linebacker is lining up in a nine-technique pre-snap position most of the time. This player is going to rush the passer plenty, in Arizona Davis rushed the SLB upwards of 65% of the time. Other similar schemes often rush their SLB upwards of 80% of the time. But even with that being said this players is going to be more coverage oriented and will man-up with the tight end more often than the “predator” opposite them. How many people remember when Jim Johnson was around? The SLB in Davis’ scheme will be playing in the same alignment, they’ll just be blitzing more often. So we’ll be headed back towards the Chris Gocong and Carlos Emmons variety of strong-side linebackers.

-If you look at the diagram of the under front again you’ll notice that there is no player shading the offensive RG, the MLB is left uncovered. That being so, the MLB is going to take on the offensive guard more often that the WLB next to him. This player is going to be a thumper. Jeremiah Trotter and Stewart Bradley played similar roles in Jim Johnson’s under-front defense. Brandon Spikes is a modern example of a player who fills this sort of role really well.

-This scheme is a weakside linebackers paradise. It’s designed to keep them clean and allow them to run around and make plays. Notice that the WLB has the NT and DE in front of them and the thumping MLB beside them to eat up blocks. Mychal Kendricks is going to blow up in this scheme, he’s a perfect fit. He’ll be the next in the line of beasts in this scheme, guys like Ray Lewis, Lawrence Timmons, Sean Lee, Navarro Bowman and Daryl Washington have thrived in this scheme at this spot. Hell, Derrick Brooks became a hall of famer in the 4-3 alignment and Lance Briggs has become a star in it as well. Mychal Kendricks played in this scheme in college and he was the Pac-12 DPOY.

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1. The ‘under’ front protects the WLB well.
If the nose tackle engages the center at all, the weak side backer is free to flow to the ball after ensuring that his gap (the weak side center-guard gap, or A gap) isn’t threatened. With the SLB and MLB dealing with potential blocks from the TE, FB and an OL, the WLB will be in position to make a lot of plays.

2. Ballcarriers are “spilled” toward the WLB.
Dungy and Kiffin’s philosophy preaches a turn back or spilling concept in run support. That is, a defender taking on a block knows where his most likely help will be and turns or spills the ballcarrier in that direction. Since the WLB is often free in an under front, he’s frequently the teammate to whom the running back gets sent.

3. The WLB has more coverage opportunity.
Traditional 4-3 schemes leave most of the man coverage responsibilities to the strong side linebacker or strong safety. The WLB needs to watch certain routes on early downs and will frequently defend a screen pass, but doesn’t usually make bunches of tackles or on-ball plays in coverage. With the underneath zone responsibility, including some of the area vacated by the MLB that drops toward the deep middle, the WLB in a Tampa-2 4-3 gets more coverage opportunities.

The list of weak side backers who have parlayed their time in Tampa-2 schemes to great success is growing longer with each passing season. Derrick Brooks, David Thornton, Mike Peterson, Cato June and Lance Briggs have all had big impacts on their respective defenses in Tampa, Indianapolis and Chicago.

So that’s that… That’s the defense we appear to be heading towards. I’m particularly excited about Mychal Kendricks and Fletcher Cox in this new defense if you couldn’t tell. I think the new scheme suits them both incredibly well and I think both are primed to take off if everything goes right.

I like the scheme. I think we’ve got some exciting fits. But at the same time it all depends on Bill Davis and despite people already writing him off, I’ll give him a chance. Remember that Jim Johnson wasn’t exactly the most well regarded guy when Andy Reid hired him and remember that he wasn’t Andy’s first choice, Andy tried to hire Marvin Lewis. I can’t wait to watch it play out.