What Is DeSean’s Worth?

DeSean Jackson is seeking a new contract  with three years of very good production. In terms of statistics, he is one of the best young receivers in NFL history. Only three players in NFL history have ever had more receiving yards before their 24th birthday - Randy Moss (4,765), David Boston (3,227) and Larry Fitzgerald (3,135). Jackson is one of eight players in NFL history to have topped 900 receiving yards in each of his first three seasons. The metrics won’t favor DeSean because he is boom or bust at the receiver spot, but his effect on the way defenses play the Eagles is undeniable. And his impact isn’t just as a receiver, he is already the best punt returner in franchise history.

In an attempt to figure out just how much DeSean will be paid, I’ll look at contracts of other big time NFL receivers and their three seasons prior to their extension or new contract and their age and years pro at the time of extension. Here are DeSean’s numbers:

DeSean Jackson

Age

24

Years Pro

3

Receptions

171

Receiving Yards

3124

Touchdowns

17

All Purpose Yards

4573

All Purpose TDs

24

Pro-Bowls  

2

All Pro Nominations

1

Missed Games

3

Now look at his numbers in comparison to Santonio Holmes’, Sidney Rice’s, Brandon Marshall’s, Andre Johnson’s, Anquan Boldin’s, Miles Austin’s, Roddy White’s and Greg Jennings’, all of whom have received contract extensions in the past 2 years.

The Santonio Holmes contract: 

 Signed a five-year, $50 million contract. The deal contains $24 million guaranteed.

Santonio Holmes

Age

27

Years Pro

5

Receptions

186

Receiving Yards

2815

Touchdowns

16

All Purpose Yards

3119

All Purpose TDs

16

Pro-Bowls 

0

All Pro Nominations

0

Missed Games

5

 

The Sidney Rice contract: 

Signed a five-year, $41 million contract. The deal contains $18.5 million guaranteed.

Sidney Rice

Age

24

Years Pro

4

Receptions

115

Receiving Yards

1733

Touchdowns

14

All Purpose Yards

1733

All Purpose TDs

14

Pro-Bowls 

1

All Pro Nominations

0

Missed Games

13

 

The Brandon Marshall contract:

Signed a five-year, $47.3 million contract. The deal contains $12.5 million guaranteed, including a $5.5 million signing bonus.

Brandon Marshall

Age

26

Years Pro

4

Receptions

307

Receiving Yards

3710

Touchdowns

23

All Purpose Yards

3802

All Purpose TDs

23

Pro-Bowls 

2

All Pro Nominations

0

Missed Games

2

The Anquan Boldin Contract

Signed a four-year, $28 million contract. The deal includes $10 million guaranteed.

Anquan Boldin

Age

29

Years Pro

7

Receptions

244

Receiving Yards

2915

Touchdowns

24

All Purpose Yards

3008

All Purpose TDs

25

Pro-Bowls 

1

All Pro Nominations

0

Missed Games

9

The Andre Johnson Extension

Signed a seven-year, $62.7 million contract. The deal contains $48 million guaranteed, including a $2.8 million signing bonus.

Andre Johnson

Age

28

Years Pro

7

Receptions

276

Receiving Yards

3995

Touchdowns

25

All Purpose Yards

4004

All Purpose TDs

25

Pro-Bowls 

2

All Pro Nominations

2

Missed Games

7

The Miles Austin Contract

Signed a seven-year, $57.168 million contract. The cap-conscious deal contains $18 million guaranteed

Miles Austin

Age

26

Years Pro

4

Receptions

97

Receiving Yards

1674

Touchdowns

14

All Purpose Yards

3065

All Purpose TDs

14

Pro-Bowls 

1

All Pro Nominations

0

Missed Games

4

The Greg Jennings Contract

Signed a four-year, $26.885 million contract. The cap-friendly deal (after 2009) contains $16.25 million guaranteed

Greg Jennings

Age

25

Years Pro

3

Receptions

178

Receiving Yards

2844

Touchdowns

24

All Purpose Yards

2873

All Purpose TDs

24

Pro-Bowls 

0

All Pro Nominations

0

Missed Games

5

The Roddy White Contract

Signed a six-year, $48 million contract. The deal contains $18.6 million guaranteed, including a $6 million signing bonus

Roddy White

Age

27

Years Pro

4

Receptions

201

Receiving Yards

3090

Touchdowns

13

All Purpose Yards

3092

All Purpose TDs

13

Pro-Bowls 

1

All Pro Nominations

0

Missed Games

0

DeSean has to be looking at the contracts that were given to Santonio Holmes, Sidney Rice, Miles Austin and Roddy White and licking his chops. When you compare DeSean’s three years prior to his (pending) extension to the three years prior to the extension of Holmes, Rice, Miles and White,  DeSean had outproduced all of them by a significant amount, was the youngest of the group and been to more pro bowls.

Brandon Marshall and Andre Johnson are going to get more than DeSean got and you can see why, they were better receivers. At the time of the contract signing I feel like Anquan Boldin, Greg Jennings and Roddy White all have similar enough numbers to DeSean to guess that his contract will be somewhere in the ball park, but two things threw a wrench into this. The first wrench thrown into the gears was DeSean Jackson as a football player rather than just as a receiver, as an all purpose football player he has about 500 yards more than the next closest receiver and his TD production when you factor in rushes and returns matches up with the TD production of Brandon Marshall and Andre Johnson. What, or I should say, who else threw a wrench into things? Jerry Jones. That monster contract he gave Miles Austin after one year of production really drove DeSean’s price up IMO. DeSean is going to look at Miles Austin’s contract, see a guy who has one year of production, was older than him and got a contract comparable to ones that Andre Johnson and Brandon Marshall received. DeSean out produced Miles by a landslide when you look at their numbers at the time they were seeking extensions.

If you figure that DeSean is going to get a contract similar to what these guys got because he is a similar caliber of receiver then you can guesstimate that DeSean Jackson is due for a 5 year, 42 million dollar contract with about 22 million guaranteed in cash.

Now why would he be getting less than Santonio and just a little bit more than Sidney Rice? Well for starters he isn’t in the same situation those two were in. Both Santonio and Rice were free agents which gave them far more leverage in negotiations. Also his size and injury history (2 concussions in the past 2 years, grade 2 MCL sprain in playoff game) bring his price down a bit. Also while DeSean has been utilized more effectively and produce more than Santonio and Rice, his skill set isn’t as complete and the Eagles recognize that. DeSean isn’t a great underneath receiver, he doesn’t go over the middle much, he isn’t a reliable #1 (boom or bust, look at his low catch percentage) and he is inconsistent from week to week. DeSean is a great player that is incredibly dynamic but the Eagles know he has flaws and they’re master negotiators so I don’t think they’ll be stuck with a Miles Austin type contract. Although I could be wrong and Drew Roshenhaus could come away with a monster contract. But either way, DeSean is going to be an Eagle for years to come.

One Response to What Is DeSean’s Worth?
  1. Piercit
    August 9, 2011 | 4:26 pm

    great write-up